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贸易自由化对中国工业就业与工资波动性的影响
引用本文:周申,宋扬,谢娟娟.贸易自由化对中国工业就业与工资波动性的影响[J].世界经济研究,2007(6):44-48,43.
作者姓名:周申  宋扬  谢娟娟
作者单位:1. 南开大学国际经济贸易系
2. 中国商务部对外贸易司
基金项目:国家社会科学基金;南开大学"985"二期跨国公司研究创新基地课题
摘    要:本文从贸易自由化与中国就业与工资波动性的关系这一新的视角分析了贸易自由化对我国劳动力市场的影响。研究首先在弹性分析框架之下,对贸易自由化对我国工业工资和就业波动性的影响进行了模拟分析。然后采用我国细分工业行业的数据,在估算全要素生产率的基础上,使用回归分析方法进一步考察了贸易自由化对我国工业工资和就业波动性的影响。研究的基本结论是,贸易自由化很可能增强了给定外生劳动需求冲击之下工业劳动者工资和就业的波动性。

关 键 词:贸易自由化  就业  工资  波动性
文章编号:1007-6964[2007]06-061229-1238

Effect of Trade Liberalization on the Volatility of China's Industrial Employment and Wage
Zhou Shen,Song Yang,Xie Juanjuan.Effect of Trade Liberalization on the Volatility of China''''s Industrial Employment and Wage[J].World Economy Study,2007(6):44-48,43.
Authors:Zhou Shen  Song Yang  Xie Juanjuan
Abstract:This paper analyzes the impact of trade liberalization on China′s labor market from a new perspective, the relationship between the trade liberalization and the employment and wage volatility. The study firstly uses the elasticity model to carry out a simulation analysis on the effect of China's trade liberalization on the volatility of industrial employment and wage. Then the paper estimates the TFP of China′s different industrial sections, and uses regression method to further analyze the relation between the trade liberalization and the employment and wage volatility. The main conclusion of the paper is that China′s trade liberalization has probably increased the volatility of industrial employment and wage in response to a given exogenous labor demand shock.
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