基于比较优势的东北三省基础设施投资对产业结构的影响分析

首先分析了东北三省产业结构的历史变迁,产业的比例情况已由"二、一、三"模式变为了"三、二、一"的模式。其次分析了东北三省产业比较优势的历史变迁,选取RCA指数作为计算指标,计算了36类产业"十一五"与"十二五"时期的RCA指数。再分析产业比较优势的历史变迁对产业结构的影响,得出东北三省随着历史变迁仍具有比较优势的产业有14个。通过建立两个计量经济模型分别研究基础设施投资对产业比较优势的影响以及基础设施投资对产业结构升级的影响,最后提出对策建议。

Analysis of the Influence of Infrastructure Investment on Industrial Structure in Three Northeastern Provinces Based on Comparative Advantage

First of all,this paper analyzes the historical changes of the industrial structure of the three northeastern provinces,and concludes that proportion of industries has changed from the initial "two,one,three" model to the "three,two,one" model.Secondly,it analyzes the historical changes of industrial comparative advantage in the three northeastern provinces,selects RCA index as the calculation index,and calculates the RCA index of 36 kinds of industries during the 11th Five Year Plan and the 12th Five Year Plan.By analyzing the influence of the historical changes of industrial comparative advantage on the industrial structure,it is concluded that there are 14 industries with comparative advantage in the three northeastern provinces.Through the establishment of two econometric models,this paper studies the impact of infrastructure investment on industrial comparative advantage and the impact of infrastructure investment on the upgrading of industrial structure,and finally puts forward countermeasures and suggestions.