| 不完全信息投标报价模型 |
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| 引用本文： | 张醒洲,邹珍珍.不完全信息投标报价模型[J].价值工程,2011,30(16):8-9. |
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| 作者姓名： | 张醒洲 邹珍珍 |
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| 作者单位： | 大连理工大学系统工程研究所,大连,116024 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金,成套装配供应链不完全信息非合作联盟对策研究(No.70671013) |
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| 摘 要： | 考虑现实竞标过程中投标方彼此成本信息不对称及未来市场的不确定性。利用模糊数刻画竞标方彼此成本信息不对称,并用线性风险损失刻画竞标方面临的失标风险及赢者诅咒风险,构造信息不完全背景下竞标方报价模型。通过数据模拟分析通胀风险因子对竞标方报价及期望效用的影响,得到以下结论:通胀风险因子的存在会致使竞标方报价高于传统报价,且竞标方报价与通胀风险因子呈正比;竞标方的期望效用则由于通胀风险因子相应降低,与通胀风险因子呈负相关。
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| 关 键 词： | 管理理论 报价模型 不完全信息 模糊数 通胀风险因子 |
Bidding Model under Incomplete Information |
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| Zhang Xingzhou,Zou Zhenzhen.Bidding Model under Incomplete Information[J].Value Engineering,2011,30(16):8-9. |
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| Authors: | Zhang Xingzhou Zou Zhenzhen |
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| Institution: | Zhang Xingzhou Zou Zhenzhen(Institute of System Engineering,Dalian University of Technology,Dalian 116024,China) |
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| Abstract: | There are cost information asymmetry among competitors and future market uncertainty in the real business environment.By characterizing the cost information asymmetry as fuzzy numbers and introducing the losing loss to describe the loosing risk and the winner's curse risk of bidder,the bidding strategy under incomplete information was established.In terms of data simulation,the effect of pricing and expected utility of bidder caused by inflation risk coefficient was analyzed and concluded as following: the ... |
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| Keywords: | management theory bidding model incomplete information fuzzy number inflation risk coefficient |
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