| 加入WTO对中国双边贸易增长贡献的实证研究——兼论影响中国双边贸易增长的因素 |
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| 引用本文： | 史朝兴,顾海英.加入WTO对中国双边贸易增长贡献的实证研究——兼论影响中国双边贸易增长的因素[J].财贸研究,2006,17(3):49-52,70. |
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| 作者姓名： | 史朝兴 顾海英 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 上海对外贸易学院,WTO研究教育学院,上海,200336
2. 上海交通大学,管理学院,上海,200052 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金，上海市重点学科建设项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文根据中国双边贸易的实际情况,对传统的贸易引力模型进行了改进,应用改进后的引力模型研究了加入WTO对中国双边贸易增长的贡献,并探讨了其它因素对中国双边贸易增长的影响。研究结果表明,加入WTO对中国与WTO成员之间的双边贸易增长贡献了19.6%,贸易伙伴GDP增长、中国GDP增长、贸易伙伴对中国的直接投资额、APEC的贸易制度安排、香港和新加坡的转口贸易等因素都对中国贸易增长有显著正面影响,而运输成本则是阻碍中国与贸易伙伴之间贸易增长的主要因素。
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| 关 键 词： | WTO 引力模型 双边贸易 贸易增长 |
| 收稿时间： | 2006-03-03 |
| 修稿时间： | 2006-03-03 |
An Empirical Research on WTO's Contribution to China's Bilateral Trade Growth--Also on Other Factors That Influence China's Bilateral Trade Growth |
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| SHI Zhao-xing,GU Hai-ying.An Empirical Research on WTO''''s Contribution to China''''s Bilateral Trade Growth--Also on Other Factors That Influence China''''s Bilateral Trade Growth[J].Finance and Trade Research,2006,17(3):49-52,70. |
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| Authors: | SHI Zhao-xing GU Hai-ying |
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| Institution: | 1. School of WTO Research and Education, Shanghai Institute of Foreign Trade, Shanghai 200336 ; 2. Antai Management school, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai 200052 |
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| Abstract: | A modified gravity model is employed to research on WTO's contribution to China's bilateral trade growth and other factors that influence China's bilateral trade growth. The findings show that China's entry of WTO contributed 19.6% to its bilateral trade growth, bilateral GDP, FDI to China. APEC have great positive influence on China′s bilateral trade growth, while transport cost is the main negative factor to the trade growth.. |
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| Keywords: | WTO gravity model bilateral trade trade growth |
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