| 不同等级城市房价与地价关系的规律初探 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 藏波,杨庆媛,周滔. 不同等级城市房价与地价关系的规律初探[J]. 中国土地科学, 2011, 0(5) |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 藏波 杨庆媛 周滔 |
| |
| 作者单位： | 西南大学地理科学学院;重庆大学建设管理与房地产学院; |
| |
| 基金项目： | 重庆市国土资源和房地产学会调研课题“重庆市公共租赁住房融资模式研究”(201012) |
| |
| 摘 要： | 研究目的:对房价与地价关系进行因果关系检验,探索其地域等级差异规律,以期为因地制宜地制定房价调控政策提供参考。研究方法:对比分析法,ECM,Granger因果关系检验。研究结果:(1)地价对房价的短期影响表现为:三线城市最强,二线次之,一线最差;房价对地价的短期作用表现为:二线城市强于一线和三线城市;(2)房价与地价的相互关系在中期稳定性差,且不同城市表现出变动的随机性;(3)地价对房价的长期作用表现为一线、二线和三线城市逐渐增强;房价对地价的长期影响则恰好相反。研究结论:(1)房价与地价关系特征相似的城市,在相关政策的制定上可以彼此借鉴;(2)房价调控政策要将时效性考虑在内;(3)房价调控政策的制定要依据城市等级而有所差异。
|
| 关 键 词： | 房价 地价 城市级别 ECM Granger因果关系 |
Preliminary Study on the Relationship between House Price and Land Price in Cities on Different Levels |
| |
| ZANG Bo,YANG Qing-yuan,ZHOU Tao. Preliminary Study on the Relationship between House Price and Land Price in Cities on Different Levels[J]. China Land Sciences, 2011, 0(5) |
| |
| Authors: | ZANG Bo YANG Qing-yuan ZHOU Tao |
| |
| Affiliation: | ZANG Bo~1,YANG Qing-yuan~1,ZHOU Tao~2 (1.School of Geographical Sciences,Southwest University,Chongqing 400715,China,2.Faculty of Construction Management and Real Estate,Chongqing University,Chongqing 400044,China) |
| |
| Abstract: | The purposes of this paper is to study the causality between house price and land price,and explore their regional disparity in order to provide the reference for the control policy on housing price in different cities.Research methods include contrastive analysis,ECM,Granger Causality Test and demonstration analysis.Results show that the short-term impact of land price on house price is strongest in the third-level cities,following that in the second-level ones and the first-level ones.The short-term impac... |
| |
| Keywords: | house price land price city level ECM Granger causality |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 等数据库收录！ |
|
