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新药研发项目成本的评估方法分析
引用本文:朱娅莉,马爱霞. 新药研发项目成本的评估方法分析[J]. 中国医药技术经济与管理, 2008, 2(9): 73-77
作者姓名:朱娅莉  马爱霞
作者单位:1. 中国药科大学国际医药商学院,南京,210009,
2. 中国药科大学国际医药商学院
摘    要:新药研发具有周期长、投资大、风险高等特点,怎样对新药研发项目成本进行合理地估算,对制药企业提供新药研发的战略决策、对政府部门新药的定价、风险投资公司实施新药投资计划都具有重要的价值。在美国,已经积累了20多年的新药研发成本的理论和实证经验,这些经验对我国目前的新药研发成本的估算、项目投资价值、新药定价等具有重要的参考意义。

关 键 词:新药研发  价值评估  净现值法  实物期权

Brief analysis on the assessment methods of new drug R&D program cost
ZHU Ya-li,MA Ai-xia. Brief analysis on the assessment methods of new drug R&D program cost[J]. Chinese Journal of Pharmacentical Technolgy Economics & Management, 2008, 2(9): 73-77
Authors:ZHU Ya-li  MA Ai-xia
Affiliation:ZHU Yali, MA Aixia. (School of International Pharmaceutical Business, China Pharmaceutical University, Nanjing 210009, China)
Abstract:Drug R&D has the characteristics of long-circle period, huge investment, and high risk. By estimating the cost of new drug R&D program, it is valuable for the pharmaceutical company to make innovation strategy and for the government surveillance to make new drug price policy, as well as to help the capital venture balance investment risk & benefit. In the USA, there has been much theories and experimental study experience for pharmaceutical innovation cost estimation for over 20 years, which would be a good reference for China to do a research in the related fields.
Keywords:drug R&D  value estimate  NPV  real Option
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