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Effects of tariffs and real exchange rates on job reallocation: evidence from Latin America
Authors:JOHN HALTIWANGER  MAURICE KUGLER  ALEJANDRO MICCO  CARMEN PAGéS
Institution:1. University of Maryland and NBER;2. University of Southampton;3. Inter‐American Development Bank
Abstract:Openness to international competition can lead to enhanced resource allocation in the end. While factor reallocation is essential if net benefits are to be derived from trade liberalization, the process generates costs both for transitioning workers and for employers undergoing personnel turnover. Net welfare gains depend on adjustment costs. Understanding of these issues has been hampered by data limitations. In this paper, we overcome some of these limitations by using new, harmonized measures on job creation and destruction for a number of countries in Latin America. We use these new series to investigate the impact of the removal of protectionism on net employment and gross job reallocation in Latin America. We find a robust pattern showing that reductions in tariffs and exchange rate appreciations increase the pace of job reallocation within sectors. We also find, however, some evidence of declining net employment growth as trade exposure increases. For example, we find some evidence that in the wake of tariff reductions, there is lower net employment growth.
Keywords:Tariff reduction  Currency appreciation  Trade exposure  Intra‐industry reallocation  JEL Codes: F160  F310  O240
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