关系网络、跨组织知识整合与 组织创新绩效的关系实证研究

本文分析了跨组织知识整合的内涵和要素结构，将跨组织知识整合划分为外部知识捕获、内外知识交融和新知识应用3个环节，建立了关系网络、跨组织知识整合和组织创新绩效之间的理论模型，并以229家企业为对象运用结构方程模型进行实证研究，并得出结论，外部关系网络对外部知识捕获有正向影响，内部关系网络对外部知识捕获、内外知识交融和新知识应用均有正向影响，内部关系网络对组织创新绩效有正向影响，跨组织知识整合在内部关系网络与组织创新绩效间起着中介作用，为企业通过外部和内部关系网络提升跨组织知识整合能力，进而提升组织创新绩效提供理论基础和实践参考。

The Application of Scenario Analysis Method in Technology Economy

In r ecent years,in the process of technology foresight analysis and technology roadm ap drafting,the application of scenario analysis method is growing popularity.As an important means to cope uncertainty,the scenario analysis method has its own laws and theory system.In-depth study the application of scenario analysis in t he technical economic,is conducive to enrich the technical economic analysis too ls,and improves the quality of technology forecasting.This paper uses comparativ e and theoretical analysis study method,focusing on the technology foresight ana lysis and technology roadmap drafting method based on scenario analysis,analysis the relation of scenario analysis with technical foresight,and introduction of the qualitative and quantitative scenario analysis method.