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2020年河南省煤炭供需平衡研究
引用本文:白宏坤,李干生.2020年河南省煤炭供需平衡研究[J].电力技术经济,2009,21(6):31-35.
作者姓名:白宏坤  李干生
作者单位:河南省电力勘测设计院,河南,郑州,450007
摘    要:以能源发展与河南省经济发展相适应为前提,在电力需求预测的基础上,对全省煤炭需求进行分析预测,得出煤炭仍是河南省的主要能源、电煤是拉动煤炭消费增长主要因素的结论。通过对全省煤炭行业发展的预测分析,进行全省煤炭供需平衡研究,得出远期河南省煤炭不能自身平衡的结论。提出河南省应合理有序开发煤炭,稳定煤炭产量;调整能源消费结构和电源结构,降低对煤炭的依存度;输煤输电并举,增强河南省能源供应保障水平。

关 键 词:煤炭供需平衡  能源需求预测  能源消费弹性系数  主要耗煤部门预测  电力需求

Study on Coal Supply-Demand Balance in Henan Province in 2020
BAI Hong-kun,LI Gan-sheng.Study on Coal Supply-Demand Balance in Henan Province in 2020[J].Electric Power Technologic Economics,2009,21(6):31-35.
Authors:BAI Hong-kun  LI Gan-sheng
Institution:BAI Hong-kun,LI Gan-sheng (Henan Electric Power Survey & Design Institute,Zhengzhou 450007,China)
Abstract:On the premise that the energy development must fit in with the economic development in Henan province,based on the electricity demand forecast,this paper presents a thorough study on the coal demand of the province with the conclusion that coal is still the major energy source and the coal for power generation is a major factor driving the growth of the coal consumption in Henan. Through the analysis and forecast of the coal industry development in Henan,the paper studies the supply-demand balance,concludi...
Keywords:coal supply-demand balance  energy demand forecast  energy consumption elasticity coefficient  forecast method by main sectors of coal consumption  electric power demand  
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