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Order and inventory variance amplification: The equivalence of discrete and continuous time analyses
Authors:RDH Warburton  SM Disney
Institution:aAdministrative Sciences Department, Metropolitan College, Boston University, 808 Commonwealth Avenue, Boston, MA 02215, USA;bLogistics Systems Dynamics Group, Cardiff Business School, Cardiff University, Cardiff CF10 3EU, UK
Abstract:The well-known “Bullwhip Effect” concerns the increasing variance of orders as they proceed through the supply chain. In the continuous time representation we solve the delay-differential equation for the inventory balance, which is coupled to the ordering policy. The time domain evolution of the system emerges. We calculate the Bullwhip Effect and compare it to known results for the discrete time representation. The discrete and continuous Bullwhip Effect expressions have similar structures. We show that the two domains are managerially equivalent so that in practice either domain can be used to study a supply chain.
Keywords:Inventory  Order-Up-To policy  Bullwhip  Lambert color:black" href="/science?_ob=MathURL&_method=retrieve&_udi=B6VF8-4N5CX9C-B&_mathId=mml36&_user=10&_cdi=6004&_rdoc=11&_acct=C000069468&_version=1&_userid=6189383&md5=7edf24088aa1e2824ddfdf0ce9c7d02c" title="Click to view the MathML source"  W Function" target="_blank">alt="Click to view the MathML source">W Function
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