| 福建省税收负担对经济增长影响的计量分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 刘伟宏,黄学敏.福建省税收负担对经济增长影响的计量分析[J].科技和产业,2010,10(9):43-46,54. |
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| 作者姓名： | 刘伟宏 黄学敏 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 福建广播电视大学,经管系,福州,350003
2. 中共宁德市委,督察室,福建,宁德,352000 |
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| 摘 要： | 回顾了经济增长理论中政府税收对经济增长影响的分析和国内学者对我国税收和经济增长关系所进行的研究,利用福建省1979—2008年经济增长和宏观税负的数据进行协整分析和Granger因果检验。实证分析的结果表明:福建省的人均GDP和财政收入存在长期稳定的均衡关系,不存在Granger因果关系。本文进一步提出了政策建议。
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| 关 键 词： | 税收负担 经济增长 协整 因果关系 误差修正模型 |
Quantitative Analysis of the Impact of Tax Burden on Economic Growth in Fujian Province |
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| LIU Wei-hong,HUANG Xue-min.Quantitative Analysis of the Impact of Tax Burden on Economic Growth in Fujian Province[J].SCIENCE TECHNOLOGY AND INDUSTRIAL,2010,10(9):43-46,54. |
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| Authors: | LIU Wei-hong HUANG Xue-min |
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| Abstract: | The author reviews the analysis of impact of government revenue on economic growth in theory of economic growth and the study of relationship between China's tax revenue and economic growth by domestic scholars,then makes cointegration analysis and Granger causality test according to macroeconomic data of tax burden of economic growth of Fujian Province in 1979-2008.The results of empirical analysis show that there exists long-term stable equilibrium relationship and no Granger causality between Per capita GDP and financial revenue.The paper further put forward policy recommendations. |
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| Keywords: | tax burden economic growth cointegration causality error correction model |
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