| 碳排放约束条件下江苏省经济增长的影响研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 魏珠联.碳排放约束条件下江苏省经济增长的影响研究[J].科技和产业,2013(8):9-12. |
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| 作者姓名： | 魏珠联 |
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| 作者单位： | 安徽财经大学 统计与应用数学学院， 安徽 蚌埠 233030 |
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| 摘 要： | 为江苏战略性能源开发供应提供依据,本文运用线性回归理论和灰色关联度分析江苏省煤炭消费总量及其占能源消费量的比重、三次产业煤炭消费量的变动对节能减排、经济增长等指标的影响及运用线性回归理论和协整理论建立误差修正模型为江苏省在节能减排的基础上及碳排放约束下经济发展措施提供合理的建议。
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| 关 键 词： | 多元线性拟合 灰色关联度 误差修正模型 优化 预测 |
Analysis the Economic Growth of Jiangsu Province under the Carbon Emission Constraints |
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| WEI Zhu-lian.Analysis the Economic Growth of Jiangsu Province under the Carbon Emission Constraints[J].SCIENCE TECHNOLOGY AND INDUSTRIAL,2013(8):9-12. |
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| Authors: | WEI Zhu-lian |
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| Institution: | WEI Zhu-lian (Anhui University of Finance & Economics,Bengbu Anhui 233030,China) |
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| Abstract: | Provide the basis for the development of Jiangsu strategic energy supply ,This article use the linear regression analysis and gray correlation theory to analysis the total coal consumption of Jiangsu Province and its share of total energy consumption, coal consumption in the three industries of changes in energy conservation, economic growth and other indicators of impact and the use of linear regression theory and the cointegration theory to estiblsh the error correction model on the basis of energy saving and carbon emission constraints undand economic development measures for Jiangsu Province to provide reasonable suggestions. |
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| Keywords: | multiple linear regression grey optimal prediction error correction model optimization forecast |
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