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挂篮施工风险评估及软件开发
引用本文:王利军,刘伟,吴雨航,宋楠,申晶.挂篮施工风险评估及软件开发[J].科技和产业,2021,21(12):299-306.
作者姓名:王利军  刘伟  吴雨航  宋楠  申晶
作者单位:中建铁投路桥有限公司,武汉 460014;石家庄铁道大学 土木工程学院,石家庄 050043
摘    要:为提升挂篮施工风险评估的科学性,实现施工现场风险评估的智能化,提出基于直觉模糊层次分析法与灰云模型相结合的挂篮施工风险评估模型,并使用Python语言开发挂篮施工风险评估软件。首先,从挂篮拼装预压、混凝土工程、预应力工程、挂篮行走、挂篮拆除等5个方面建立风险评估指标体系,识别潜在风险因素;其次,运用直觉模糊层次分析法对指标进行赋权。同时,运用云理论改进灰色聚类模型的白化权函数,使其能够有效反映评估指标的模糊性与不确定性;最后,基于Python语言,开发出挂篮施工风险评估软件,用此软件对西郊大桥挂篮施工进行风险评估,验证模型的准确性。提供了一套完整的挂篮施工风险评估系统,可为决策者规避风险提供参考。

关 键 词:挂篮施工  直觉模糊层次分析法  灰云模型  风险评估软件

Risk Assessment and Software Development of Hanging Basket Construction
Abstract:In order to improve the scientific nature of the hanging basket construction risk assessment and realize the intelligentization of the construction site risk assessment, a hanging basket construction risk assessment model based on the combination of intuitionistic fuzzy analytic hierarchy process and gray cloud model is proposed, and the Python language is used to develop the hanging basket construction risk Evaluation software. First, a risk assessment index system is established from five aspects: preloading of the cradle assembly, concrete engineering, prestressing engineering, walking cradle, and cradle dismantling to identify potential risk factors; secondly, use the intuitionistic fuzzy analytic hierarchy process to assign indicators right. At the same time, the cloud theory is used to improve the whitening weight function of the gray clustering model, so that it can effectively reflect the ambiguity and uncertainty of the evaluation index; finally, based on the Python language, a risk assessment software for hanging basket construction is developed, and this software is used for Western Carry out risk assessment for the construction of the hanging basket of the Suburb Bridge to verify the accuracy of the model. A complete risk assessment system was provided for hanging basket construction, which can provide a reference for decision-makers to avoid risks.
Keywords:hanging basket construction  intuitionistic fuzzy analytic hierarchy process  gray cloud model  risk assessment software
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