基于协整分析的东北区域产业结构优化与金融支持关系研究

基于1978—2003年的统计数据,采用协整关系检验法和格兰杰(Granger)因果检验法对东北地区金融发展与产业结构优化之间的关系进行了实证检验。分析结果表明东北区域产业结构优化与金融发展之间存在长期动态均衡关系及单向因果关系,即金融发展对东北区域产业结构优化具有支持作用,从而为政府经济决策提供了政策依据。

Research on the Relationship between Industrial Structure Optimization and Financial Support in the Northeast Region of China Based on Co-integration Analysis

Based on the data of 1978-2003,this paper discussed the relationship between financial support and the industrial structure optimization in the northeast region of China by Co-integration analysis and Granger-causality test. We can conclude from the results of the empirical analysis that there exists long dynamic equilibrium relation, and that there is one-way Granger-causality between the two, that is financial support is indispensable to the industrial structure optimization in the northeast of China,which is helpful to the economy decision-making of the government.