中日两国间贸易与投资的新动向及发展前景

经过几十年发展,中日两国之间的贸易投资关系已密不可分。在经历了全球金融危机和东日本大地震后2,011年中日贸易及两国之间的投资出现一些新动向。在欧美经济萧条、日本灾后重建将持续五到十年、中国经济虽有放缓迹象但仍将保持相对较快增长的情况下,预计中日两国间的贸易与投资总体将会进一步发展,中国仍将是日本一个最重要的贸易伙伴和出口地,中日之间相互投资的严重失衡状态会继续改善,中国面临日本结构调整和产业转移的新机遇。

New Trends and Future Directions of Sino-Japan Trade and Investment

The Sino-Japan trade and investment relationship has been closer in the past decades.After the global financial crisis and the east Japan earthquake,new trends have emerged.Under assumptions that 1) Europe and US suffer a depression;2) the Japanese post-disaster reconstruction lasts five to ten years;and 3) Chinese economy slows down to a moderate but still relatively high growth rate,this research concludes that the Sino-Japan trade and investment will keep developing and China will continue to be the largest export destination for Japan,with the serious imbalance in the bilateral investment will improve.China is facing new opportunities arising from Japan’s structural changes and industrial transfer.