自然人移动对双边贸易的影响——以美国为例

本文在分析自然人移动对双边贸易影响渠道的基础上,运用修正后的贸易引力模型,以美国为例,对自然人移动对双边贸易的影响进行实证分析,结果显示自然人移动对双边贸易有着积极影响。据此本文认为,自然人移动服务贸易的自由化有利于贸易国社会福利水平的提高。

The Effect of Movement of Natural Persons on Bilateral Trade:An Empirical Analysis of the U. S. as an Example

Based on the analysis of the channels through which the movement of natural persons will affect bilateral trade,this paper introduces the gravity model of trade and makes the empirical analysis by taking the U.S.as an example.The results reveal that movement of natural persons has a positive effect on bilateral trade.Accordingly,this paper comes to the conclusion that movement of natural persons liberalization will improve social welfare eventually.