转型期中国经济增长动力研究:民族资本与FDI谁更有效

尽管FDI对中国经济增长的贡献是有目共睹的,但随着进入规模的扩大和领域的放宽,它所带来的问题也日渐突出,面对开放近30年的中国经济实力和国际地位发生显著变化的今天,如何看待FDI对转型期中国未来经济发展的影响?中国经济未来增长的动力主要来源于民族资本还是FDI?本文基于非参数方法双产出模型,在对转型期中国民族资本与FDI企业生产效率测度的基础上,具体研究其生产资源配置效率与技术效率。研究结果表明,民族资本的效率优于FDI,可见,民族资本是推动转型期中国未来经济持续高效增长的主要动力。这就意味着,中国今后应进一步加大力度培育民族资本,使民族资本更好地发挥促进转型期中国经济持续增长的动力作用;同时,对外引资政策应着重FDI的质量与效率而非数量。

Sduty on Drive of China′s Economic Growth: Who Is More Effecient,National Capital or FDI

Despite the effect of FDI on China′s economic growth is obvious and with the scale and the entry-allowed fields of FDI are expanded, the problems become more and more prominent. Facing China′s economic power and her new international status today after opening up for 30 years, this paper studies on how to evaluate the effect of FDI on China′s future economic develpment in the transitional period, and whether the national capital is the drive of economic growth or not. Based on the double-output model of non-parametric method, through the measurement of China′s national capital and the FDI ′s efficiency in enterprises during the transitional period, the paper analyzes the allocation efficiency of production resources and the technical efficiency. The result shows that national capital is the main engine of the future economic growth which will drive China′s economy effectively and constantly in the transitional period. It means that the national capital should be cultivated more then ever so that is can still play the important rloe in the future. Meanwhile, the FDI policy should be focused on the quality and efficiency rather than quantity.