论贸易收支、外汇储备与人民币国际化的协调和均衡发展

国际金融危机爆发以来,我国政府对对外经济贸易政策进行了一系列调整,目标在于收缩贸易顺差、抑制外汇储备增量和推动人民币国际化。但是,政策运行的结果显示,贸易收支、外汇储备和人民币国际化的发展并不协调,具体表现为贸易顺差收缩与外汇储备扩张之间的不协调及人民币国际化进程加快与外汇储备扩张之间的不协调。研究表明,两大不协调的主要原因都在于跨境贸易人民币结算的失衡。我们应该出台鼓励出口贸易人民币结算的配套政策,使跨境贸易出口人民币结算与进口人民币结算达到平衡,实现贸易收支、外汇储备与人民币国际化的均衡协调发展。

On Homony and Equilibrium among Balance of Trade,Foreign Exchange Reserve and RMB Internationalization

Since the international financial crisis,the Chinese government undertook a series of adjustments in foreign economic policy which aimed to shrink trade surplus,decreased foreign exchange reserves increment and promoted RMB internationalization.However,policy operating results show that balance of trade,foreign exchange reserves and RMB internationalization are dishomony.Research indicates the main reason of dishomony among balance of trade,foreign exchange reserves and RMB internationalization is the unbalance of RMB settlement in cross-border trade.China should implement policy to encourage RMB settlement in export,which can make the import and export RMB clearing achieving a balance and get the harmonious development among balance of trade,foreign exchange reserves and RMB internationalization.