| 天山北坡经济带耕地变化的驱动力研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 陶江,陆玉麒.天山北坡经济带耕地变化的驱动力研究[J].乡镇经济,2008,24(8):44-47. |
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| 作者姓名： | 陶江 陆玉麒 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 南京师范大学,地理科学学院,江苏,南京,210097;中国科学院,新疆生态与地理研究所,新疆,乌鲁木齐,830011
2. 南京师范大学,地理科学学院,江苏,南京,210097 |
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| 摘 要： | 根据天山北坡经济带的统计资料，分析了1990-2004年该区域耕地面积变化的趋势。运用主成分分析法对影响耕地面积变化的人口因素、经济因素、收入消费因素和技术进步因素四类13个指标进行定量研究。在此基础上，建立了多元线性回归模型。
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| 关 键 词： | 耕地变化 驱动力 天山北坡经济带 |
Studies on Change and Driving Forces of the Cultivated Land in Economic Belt on the Northern Slope of the Tianshan Mountains |
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| TAO Jiang,LU Yu-qi.Studies on Change and Driving Forces of the Cultivated Land in Economic Belt on the Northern Slope of the Tianshan Mountains[J].Rural Economy,2008,24(8):44-47. |
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| Authors: | TAO Jiang LU Yu-qi |
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| Institution: | TAO Jiang, LU Yu-qi (1. College of Geographical Science, Nanjing Normal University, Nanjing 210097, China ; 2. Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Urmqi 830011, China) |
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| Abstract: | Based on statistical data of Economic belt on the northern slope of the Tianshan Mountains, the trend of cultivated land use from 1990 to 2004 are discussed. Then a quantity study is made on the forth chosen driving forces factors which affect change of cultivated land by using Principal Component Analysis. A linear multi-regression model is made in the end. |
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| Keywords: | change of cultivated land driving forces Northern slope of the Tianshan Mountains |
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