中国出口贸易结构影响产业结构的机制——基于贸易内生技术进步经济增长模型的实证研究

文章基于贸易内生技术进步经济增长模型,实证研究了中国1994—2010年间出口贸易结构影响产业结构的机制,发现出口贸易部门对非贸易部门技术外溢的正外部性影响促进了中国经济与产业发展,但中国各出口贸易结构部门以及整体出口贸易部门的全要素生产率水平依然较低,并由此提出通过实施贸易商品结构战略化、贸易方式结构一般化、贸易主体结构民营化以及贸易区域结构多元化来加速产业结构升级。

Analysis on the Influencing Mechanism of Export Structure towards Industrial Structure in China——An Empirical Study Based on Trade-induced Technology Endogenesis Model

Based on economic growth model with trade-induced technology endogenesis,this article conducted an empirical study on the influencing mechanism of export structure towards industrial structure in China from Year 1994 to Year 2010.And the results show that export sector has a positive external effect on non-trade sector in technology spillovers which has promoted the development of economy and industry.However,the total factor productivity(TFP) in each export structure sector and even the entire export sector is still at a relatively low level.Hence,it finally puts forward that the upgrading of industrial structure can be accelerated through strategic composition of trade,generalized mode of trade,privatized main forces of trade and diversi fied region structure of trade.