我国短期国际资本流入研究

国际短期资本流动对我国经济的影响越来越明显。本文由国内外学者对国际短期资本流动的实证研究综述展开,分析并探讨了国际短期资本流动的动因。本文通过实证检验,试图找出影响我国短期资本流动的关键影响因素。研究表明,短期资本流动与中美利差、房地产指数以及证券市场的收益率呈正相关关系,而汇率的变动对短期资本流动影响不大,汇率的预期变动才是影响短期资本流动的因素之一。

China short term international capital influx research

There is a more and more obvious effect that short-term capital flow to China international economic.We analyzed the international short-term capital flows based on the domestic and foreign scholars studies about international short-term capital flows.We trying to find out what influence the short-term capital flows in China with empirical.We find that sino-american spreads,real estate and stock market index have a positive correlation with short-term capital flows.And the expected exchange rate but not the exchange rate is the factor affect short-term capital flows.