京津沪渝服务贸易竞争力及其影响因素的实证研究

文章首先分析了京津沪渝服务贸易发展现状,并基于RCA指数对四城市服务贸易竞争力进行比较分析,同时利用2001-2010年京津沪渝的面板数据,运用单位根检验、协整检验以及误差修正模型方法对服务贸易竞争力的影响因素进行了实证研究,结果表明京津沪渝服务贸易竞争力与服务贸易出口开放度、外商直接投资、人才储备水平、科研投入水平、第三产业比重、货物出口比重以及国内生产总值之间存在着长、短期均衡的关系,最后提出了京津沪渝服务贸易发展的相关建议。

The Empirical Research on Services Trade Competitiveness and its Influencing Factors of Beijing, Tianjin, Shanghai and Chongqing

This paper analyzes the services trade developing status of Beijing,Tianjin,Shanghai and Chongqing,and then it makes comparative analysis of their services trade competitiveness based on the RCA index.Meanwhile,based on the statistical panel data between 2001 and 2010,this paper uses the method of unit root test,cointegration test and error correction model to research the way each selected factors affecting the four cities’ services trade competitiveness,and the result indicates that there exist long-term and short-term equilibrium relationship between services trade competitiveness and the seven influencing factors.Finally,the suggestions are proposed to speed up the development of the four cities’ trade in services.