从产业间贸易到产业内贸易——我国贸易结构演变的实证研究

本文基于我国1992-2003年间的数据,对产业间-产业内贸易结构及其与经济发展水平之间的联系进行检验。首先将产业内贸易分为水平型与垂直型两类,考察了产业间贸易、两种类型产业内贸易结构的演变。然后探讨了贸易结构的这种演变与我国经济发展水平之间的关系。得出以下结论:我国贸易结构以垂直产业内贸易为主,并且具有增加趋势;产业间贸易比重略低于垂直产业内贸易比重,但呈现减少趋势;水平产业内贸易比重一直较小。我国垂直产业内贸易与我国参与国际垂直分工的程度密不可分,并且垂直产业内贸易的发展与经济发展水平之间具有显著的正相关性。

From Inter-industry Trade to Intra-industry Trade: An Empirical Study on the Development of China's Trade Structure

Based on China's data from 1992 to 2003, this paper verifies the development of inter-industry trade and intra-industry trade as well as their relationship with per capital GDP. It concludes that China's trade structure mainly takes on the vertical intra-industry trade and the trend is strengthening, while the proportion of inter-industry is a little less than the vertical intra-industry trade and it is weakening. At the same time, the horizontal intra-industry trade is always very little. Furthermore, the vertical intra-industry trade has a notable positive relationship with per capital GDP.