印度对华反倾销行为的驱动因素分析

本文结合印度经济转型背景,分析了其对华反倾销的总体特征和可能影响其裁决结果的政治经济因素。Logit模型检验结果发现,宏观经济因素在其裁决结果形成过程中表现出无关性,这有别于对发达国家的经验研究结论。印度对华反倾销的驱动因素在于产业层面:进口渗透的威胁和产业业绩下降往往会导致肯定裁决结果的出现;相比强势厂商,集中度较低、易受损害的弱势厂商受到更多照顾;具有战略意义的化工产业,无论在转型前后都得到了反倾销当局的特殊照顾;中国入世的制度因素并未对印度对华反倾销行为形成遏制。

Factors Influencing Behavior of India’s Antidumping to China

India’s antidumping to China is a phenomenon we must pay attention to.Based on traditional political and economic literatures on trade protection and antidumping,this paper studies the overall features of India’s antidumping to China and potentially important political and economic factors.The result of Logit model indicates macroeconomic factor irrelative to behavior of India’s antidumping to China.Instead,driving factors lie in industry level.Less concentrated appealing enterprises and strategic chemistry industry have had more positive outcome.China’s access to WTO doesn’t play a strong role in restricting India’s antidumping.