| FDI、国际贸易及我国经济增长的协整分析与VECM模型 |
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| 引用本文： | 康赞亮,张必松.FDI、国际贸易及我国经济增长的协整分析与VECM模型[J].国际贸易问题,2006(2):73-78. |
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| 作者姓名： | 康赞亮 张必松 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 华中科技大学经济学院
2. 中国人民大学商学院 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文利用我国1983-2004年的经济数据进行实证检验,根据协整理论建立向量误差修正模型(VECM)。实证结果说明外国直接投资、国际贸易与经济增长间具有长期均衡关系,且我国国内生产总值的增长与外国直接投资有双向因果关系,但相互影响的程度不同;我国为出口导向型经济增长国家且外国直接投资对国际贸易具有促进作用.
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| 关 键 词： | 外国直接投资 经济增长 协整 向量误差修正模型 |
Co-integration Analysis and VECM of FDI, International Trade and Economic Growth in China |
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| KANG Zan-liang,ZHANG Bi-song.Co-integration Analysis and VECM of FDI, International Trade and Economic Growth in China[J].Journal of International Trade,2006(2):73-78. |
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| Authors: | KANG Zan-liang ZHANG Bi-song |
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| Institution: | KANG Zan-liang ZHANG Bi-song |
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| Abstract: | Based on the Chinese economic data from 1983 to 2004, this paper performs an empirical research on the relationship between foreign direct investment(FDI), international trade and economic growth. According to the theory of co-integration and the results of vector error correction model(VECM), it draws a conclusion that there is a long-term equilibrium between the three variables. The results also reveal that there is a bi-directional causality between FDI and GDP. That China is an export-led growth country and the conclusion that FDI can promote international trade can also be concluded. |
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| Keywords: | Foreign direct investment(FDI) Economic growth Cointegration Vector error correction model(VECM) |
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