论泰兹模型在我国未被观测经济规模估算中的应用

随着未被观测经济在我国的不断发展,这部分经济规模的测算也越来越引起专家学者的重视。由于国内对未被观测经济的研究尚未形成系统,故在测算时多采用国外的方法,泰兹模型就是被经常借鉴的估算模型。由于原始模型的解释变量和方程形式并不适合我国的国情,导致直接使用泰兹模型的测算结果与专家们的预期偏离很大。本文通过对泰兹模型的重新解读,结合我国的具体国情,重新诠释了模型中解释变量,选择了相对科学的模型方程形式,并做了测算。

Application of Tize Model on Measuring Our Country's Non - observed Economy

With the development of the non-observed economy in our country,more and more experts are interesred in measuring its size.Because the systematization of the research on our country's non-observed economy is weak,overseas methods are always used,suchas Tize model.Explanatory varible and formula form of the orginal model do not adapt to our country's situation,so the direct application of the model leads to a huge departure between the measuring result and an expert's anticipation.This article unscrambles the Tize model renewedly,annotates the explanatory variable of the model anew,selects a relatively scientitic formula form,combines our concrete situation,and measures the size of our country's non-observed economy.