中国对外直接投资发展阶段研究

随着我国国际竞争力的不断增强和"走出去"战略的逐步实施,我国已经成为世界上主要的对外直接投资来源地。本文运用最新的经济统计数据,对我国经济发展水平和对外直接投资之间的关系进行实证研究,以此分析判断我国对外直接投资所处的发展阶段和未来趋势。结果表明:一方面,我国的对外直接投资与邓宁的投资发展周期理论相吻合;另一方面,我国现阶段的对外直接投资实际情况与理论预期还存在一定的差距,对外直接投资的发展阶段滞后于经济发展水平。

On the Development Stage of China' Foreign Direct Investment

With the constant growth of China′s international competitiveness and the gradual implementation of the "going out" strategy,China has become the world′s main source of foreign direct investment.In this paper,we conduct a study on the relationship between the level of economic development and the foreign direct investment of China by using the latest data.The results indicate that:on one hand,China′s foreign direct investment is consistent with Dunning′s investment development cycle theory;on the other hand,there is still a gap between the acutal foreign investment situation and the theoretical expectation,and the outward direct investment lags behind the level of economic development.