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产业内贸易与经济增长:基于协整关系的分析
引用本文:宣烨,李思慧.产业内贸易与经济增长:基于协整关系的分析[J].商业研究,2009(11).
作者姓名:宣烨  李思慧
作者单位:南京财经大学,国际经贸学院,南京,210046
基金项目:江苏省教育厅课题《外资并购对中国产业发展影响与对策研究》;项目 
摘    要:运用Engle-Granger协整关系检验法和Granger因果关系检验法,利用修正后的产业内贸易指数,对我国1985-2007年间产业内贸易与经济增长之间关系进行实证研究。结果显示这两者之间存在长期稳定的关系,产业内贸易与我国经济增长之间存在双向因果关系,并提出相应的政策建议。

关 键 词:产业内贸易  经济增长  协整检验  Granger检验

Co-integration Analysis of the Relationship between Intra-industry Trade and GDP in China
XUAN Ye,LI Si-hui.Co-integration Analysis of the Relationship between Intra-industry Trade and GDP in China[J].Commercial Research,2009(11).
Authors:XUAN Ye  LI Si-hui
Abstract:The paper based on co-integration test and Granger causality test,makes an empirical analysis of the relationship between intra-industry trade and economic growth in China by using the data between 1985 and 2007.The result shows that there is a long-term equilibrium relationship between them;Granger causality test shows that there is a bidirectional causality between intra-industry trade and economic growth.At last,the paper puts forward corresponding proposals.
Keywords:intra-industry trade  economic growth  Co-integration Test  Granger Causality Test
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