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对外直接投资与出口贸易的实证分析
引用本文:王喜平.对外直接投资与出口贸易的实证分析[J].商业研究,2007,8(4):180-183.
作者姓名:王喜平
作者单位:华北电力大学,工商管理学院,河北,保定,071003
摘    要:基于1982-2003年对外直接投资与出口贸易的时间序列数据,采用向量自回归(VAR)模型方法,实证分析对外直接投资对出口贸易的影响。实证结果表明对外直接投资与出口贸易之间存在稳定的正相关关系,但无论长期还是短期对外直接投资对出口贸易的Granger因果关系都不显著,这表明对外直接投资对出口贸易的潜在作用未能得到充分发挥,因此应积极发展对外直接投资。

关 键 词:对外直接投资  出口贸易  向量自回归(VAR)模型
文章编号:1001-148X(2007)04-0180-04
收稿时间:07 10 2006 12:00AM
修稿时间:2006年7月10日

The Relationship Between Outward Foreign Direct Investment (OFDI) and Exports
WANG Xi-ping.The Relationship Between Outward Foreign Direct Investment (OFDI) and Exports[J].Commercial Research,2007,8(4):180-183.
Authors:WANG Xi-ping
Institution:School of Business Administration, North China Electric Power University, Baoding 071003, China
Abstract:This paper examines the relationship between outward foreign direct investment(OFDI)and exports from China during the period of 1982-2003 by employing a vector autoregressive(VAR)system.The result of cointegration test shows that there exist a positive long-run relation between them and Granger causality test provides no significant evidence of Granger causality from foreign direct investment to exports.The paper provides some advice of improving OFDI.
Keywords:Outward Foreign Direct Investment(OFDI)  export  VAR model
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