中国与“一带一路”沿线国家服务贸易影响因素探究

在分析中国与"一带一路"沿线国家服务贸易影响因素的理论基础上,采用2006~2015年"一带一路"沿线22个国家的面板数据,探讨了中国与"一带一路"沿线国家的服务贸易格局。借助贸易引力模型实证分析经济发展水平、服务业发展水平、服务贸易开放度、地理距离、城市化水平和制度环境等因素对中国与"一带一路"沿线国家服务贸易的影响。根据研究结论提出关于促进中国与"一带一路"沿线国家服务贸易发展、提升中国服务贸易竞争力和推动中国服务出口的政策启示。

Research on the Factors Affecting the Trade in Services between China and the Countries along the Belt and Road

This paper analyzes the influence mechanism of the trade in services along the Belt and Road,and explores the pattern of services trade between China and the countries along the Belt and Road,based on the panel data of 22 countries along the routes from 2006 to 2015.It analyses the factors affecting the services trade between China and the countries along the Belt and Road,through setting up a trade gravity model taking into consideration economic development level,service industry level,openness of services trade,geographical distance,urbanization and institutional environment.According to the conclusions of the study,it puts forward the relevant policy enlightenment about promoting the development of services trade between China and the countries along the Belt and Road,and enhancing the competitiveness of China’s services trade.