我国对外贸易结构对OFDI 影响的研究 ——基于动态面板模型的实证分析

本文使用2003～2010年我国对外直接投资的面板数据,采用GMM估计方法进行动态面板数据分析,考察了我国对外贸易结构对OFDI的影响。对世界样本的研究发现:我国制成品出口比重对OFDI有显著的促进作用,而对我国初级产品进口集中度、我国与东道国的贸易结合度以及总产品出口竞争力却会产生抑制作用。对发展中国家样本的分析则显示我国制成品出口竞争力对OFDI有显著的促进作用,而对我国制成品出口比重和总产品出口竞争力却没有显著的影响。

The Impact of China's Foreign Trade Structure on OFDI: An Empirical Analysis Based on Dynamic Panel Model

Based on Dynamic Panel Model and adopting GMM method,this paper studies the impact of China’s foreign trade structure on OFDI during 2003～2010.While the overall analysis of world sampls shows the impact of the proportion of manufactured goods export on OFDI is significant and positive,primary products import concentration,trade integration degree and the competitiveness of total goods export are significant but negative.Results of the analysis of developing countries sampls indicate that the competitiveness of manufactured goods export has a significant positive impact on OFDI,but the proportion of manufactured goods export and the competitiveness of total goods export have no influence.