| 对外直接投资与进出口贸易关系的协整分析——以浙江省为例 |
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| 引用本文： | 孙敬水,张蕾.对外直接投资与进出口贸易关系的协整分析——以浙江省为例[J].财贸研究,2007(1):51-56. |
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| 作者姓名： | 孙敬水 张蕾 |
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| 作者单位： | 浙江工商大学,现代商贸研究中心,浙江,杭州,310035 |
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| 基金项目： | 浙江省社会科学基金，教育部省属高校人文社科重点研究基地--浙江工商大学现代商贸研究中心重点资助课题 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文在回顾了国内外关于对外直接投资与对外贸易关系的理论和文献的基础上,利用浙江省1989-2005年宏观经济数据,对浙江省对外直接投资与对外贸易关系进行了实证研究。分析结果表明,浙江省对外直接投资与对外贸易存在长期稳定关系,短期均衡关系显著,对外直接投资对进出口贸易产生了积极的促进作用,两者之间存在较强的互补关系。
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| 关 键 词： | 对外直接投资 协整检验 误差修正模型 |
| 收稿时间： | 2006-12-01 |
| 修稿时间： | 2006-12-01 |
A Cointegration of the Relationship between Outward FDI and International Trade——An Example from Zhejiang Province |
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| SUN Jing-shui,ZHANG Lei.A Cointegration of the Relationship between Outward FDI and International Trade——An Example from Zhejiang Province[J].Finance and Trade Research,2007(1):51-56. |
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| Authors: | SUN Jing-shui ZHANG Lei |
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| Institution: | Modem Business Study Center, Zhejiang Gongshang University, Hangzhou 310035 |
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| Abstract: | This article firstly reviews the theory and literatures about relationship between outward FDI and foreign trade at home and abroad. Then we use a series of macroeconomic statistics during 1989-2005 and econometric method to analyze the influence of outward FDI on foreign trade in Zhejiang Province. Results indicate a long-term and stable relation between outward FDI and foreign trade in Zhejiang, while in the short term, the relationship between them is also significant. Outward FDI promotes the import and export actively and there exists a strong relationship between them. |
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| Keywords: | outward FDI cointegration ECM |
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