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中国对外直接投资的贸易效应研究——基于面板数据的协整分析
引用本文:项本武.中国对外直接投资的贸易效应研究——基于面板数据的协整分析[J].财贸经济,2009(4).
作者姓名:项本武
作者单位:中南财经政法大学经济学院,430073
摘    要:本文使用2000—2006年我国对50个国家或地区直接投资和进出口的面板数据,运用面板协整模型和面板误差修正模型,对我国对外直接投资的长短期贸易效应进行了检验。研究结果显示:(1)中国对外直接投资与中国出口及进口均存在长期协整关系,在长期,中国对外直接投资对中国进出口的拉动作用相当大。(2)在短期,我国对外直接投资与出口及进口的长期稳定(协整)关系,对短期的出口及进口的抑制(调节)作用并不显著,对短期的对外直接投资具有显著的正向调节效应。本文还进一步讨论了这些结果的深层次原因以及相应的政策启示。

关 键 词:对外直接投资  国际贸易  面板协整  误差修正模型

The Effects of Outward Foreign Direct Investment on International Trade:Evidence from China
XIANG Benwu.The Effects of Outward Foreign Direct Investment on International Trade:Evidence from China[J].Finance & Trade Economics,2009(4).
Authors:XIANG Benwu
Institution:XIANG Benwu(School of Economics,Zhongnan University of Economics , Law,430073)
Abstract:This paper explores the effects of outward FDI on international trade by examining the data of China's FDI from 2000 to 2006 covering 50 destination countries,both the panel co-integration model and the panel vector error correction model were used,the main findings are:1)there are long-term co-integration relationships between China's FDI in host country and China's export to host country,and between China's FDI in host country and China's import from host country. We can see that the role of China's forei...
Keywords:Outward Direct Investment from China  International Trade  Panel Co-integration  Error Correction Model  
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