农村居民消费结构变动的实证分析——以安徽为例

基于1993—2010年安徽农村居民消费统计数据,运用综合统计分析和多维度数据ELES模型相结合的方法对农村居民消费结构变动进行了实证研究。研究结果表明：安徽农村居民消费结构有了一定程度的改善,但消费结构仍不够合理,食品、居住支出在生活消费支出中所占比重仍然较高;农村居民对生存型消费需求仍具有较强的刚性,对生存型消费的依赖程度尚有较大降低空间;医疗保健、家庭设备用品及服务、文教娱乐用品及服务等发展型和享受型消费具有很大的挖掘空间;收入仍然对安徽农村居民消费水平及消费结构变动具有举足轻重的影响。

Empirical Analysis on the Change of Consumption Structure of Rural Residents:A Case Study in Anhui

Based on the statistics about consumption of rural resident from 1993 to 2010 in Anhui Province,the paper conducts an empirical research on the consumption structural change of rural residents by using method of combining the comprehensive statistical analysis and multi- dimensional data＇s ELES model. The results indicate that the rural residents＇ consumption structure has a certain degree of improvement,but the consumption structure is still not resonable. The proportion of food and housing expenditure remains high in the living consumer expenditure. Rural residents still have strong rigid demend for survival consumption and the dependence for survival consumption has much lower space. The types of development and enjoyment consumption which include health care,househole equipment supplies and services,culture and entertainment products and services and so on has a lot of space for improvemnet. Income still has an important influence on the consumption lever and consumption structural change.