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农村剩余劳动力跨省迁移的实证分析
引用本文:陈承明,刘文可.农村剩余劳动力跨省迁移的实证分析[J].上海市经济管理干部学院学报,2008,6(2):57-64.
作者姓名:陈承明  刘文可
作者单位:1. 华东师范大学,上海,200062
2. 复旦大学,上海,200433
摘    要:本文将农民作为市场经济的理性主体,利用第五次人口普查的数据,使用线性化的logit模型,对影响农村劳动力跨省迁移的概率和流向等因素进行实证分析。结果表明,迁出地的人均耕地、劳动者受教育状况、农业劳动生产率、城镇居民收入以及两地距离等对农村劳动力的跨省迁移具有显著影响。

关 键 词:农村剩余劳动力  跨省迁移  线性化的  logit模型
文章编号:1672-3988(2008)02-0057-08
修稿时间:2007年5月16日

The Empirical Analysis on the Rural Residual Labor Forces Tram-regional Migration in China
CHEN Cheng-ming,LIU Wen-ke.The Empirical Analysis on the Rural Residual Labor Forces Tram-regional Migration in China[J].Journal of Shanghai Economic Management College,2008,6(2):57-64.
Authors:CHEN Cheng-ming  LIU Wen-ke
Institution:CHEN Cheng-ming, LIU Wen-ke (1. ECNU, Shanghai 200062; 2. Fudan University, Shanghai 200433)
Abstract:This paper focusing on the rural residual labor forces' trans-regional migration,tries to make a preliminary exploration on that. Based on the presumption of self-interested person,the paper employs an econometric method of linear logit model to carry on the analysis. A principle source of data is the fifth national census in 2000. The analysis shows that factors like cultivated land per capita,education,productivity of agriculture,distance,etc. have notable influence on the trans-regional migration of surplus labor in rural areas.
Keywords:rural residual labor forces  trans-regional migration  linear logit model
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