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上证综指收益率的长记忆研究
引用本文:张志朝,陈年红.上证综指收益率的长记忆研究[J].广西财经学院学报,2009,22(1).
作者姓名:张志朝  陈年红
作者单位:安徽财经大学,安徽,蚌埠,233030
摘    要:运用一种新的非参数统计方法即重标方差V/S分析方法考察上证股市收益的长期记忆效应,该方法比R/S分析与修正的R/S分析更稳健.研究表明:上证股市总体样本日、周收益率的Hurst指数均小于0.5,即不存在显著的长记忆效应,呈现反持续性.

关 键 词:长记忆性  重标方差R/S  Hurst指数

Study on Long Memory of Shanghai Composite Index Return
ZHANG Zhi-zhao,CHEN Nian-hong.Study on Long Memory of Shanghai Composite Index Return[J].JOURNAL OF GUANGXI UNIVERSITY OF FINANCE AND ECONOMICS,2009,22(1).
Authors:ZHANG Zhi-zhao  CHEN Nian-hong
Institution:Anhui University of Finance and Economics;Bengbu 233030;China
Abstract:Applying a new nonparametric statistical method,namely rescaled variance V/S analysis method,this papen made an investigation on the long memory effects of Shanghai composite index return.This method is more stable than R/S analysis and corrected R/S analysis.The research showed that all Hurst Exponent of daily and weekly return of Shanghai stock samples were smaller than 0.5,which meant there were no obvious long memory effects,but anti-persistence were presented.
Keywords:V/S
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