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晋升激励、土地财政与经济增长的区域差异——基于面板数据联立方程的估计
引用本文:李勇刚,高波,许春招.晋升激励、土地财政与经济增长的区域差异——基于面板数据联立方程的估计[J].产业经济研究,2013(1):100-110.
作者姓名:李勇刚  高波  许春招
作者单位:南京大学经济学院,江苏南京,210093
基金项目:教育部哲学社会科学研究重大课题攻关项目“我国城市住房制度改革研究”(项目编号:10JZD0025);国家社会科学基金重点项目“扩大内需与引导住房理性消费的宏观经济政策研究”(项目编号:08AJY010);国家社会科学基金一般项目“省直管县财政体制改革深化研究”(项目编号:10BJY094);国家社会科学基金青年项目“中部地区城市化驱动经济发展方式转变的机制与政策研究”(项目编号:12CJL071)的资助
摘    要:在中国改革和发展过程中,政治晋升激励和土地资源扮演了举足轻重的角色,为社会经济发展做出了重要贡献。本文在对现有文献进行系统梳理的基础上,利用中国1999—2010年31个省市区的面板数据,构建面板联立方程模型检验了晋升激励和土地财政对经济增长的影响效应,研究结果表明:(1)晋升激励与土地财政存在显著的正向互动关系,而且晋升激励对土地财政的作用程度大于土地财政对晋升激励的作用;(2)晋升激励和土地财政对经济增长的影响显著为正,地方政府的晋升激励和土地财政是中国经济长期保持较快增速的重要原因;(3)晋升激励和土地财政对经济增长的影响呈现出一定的区域差异,对东部地区经济增长的影响小于中西部地区。

关 键 词:晋升激励  土地财政  经济增长  面板联立方程  财政分权

Promotion Incentives,Land Finance and Economic Development’ Regional Differences——An Estimation Based on the Panel Data Simultaneous Equations Model
Li Yonggang , Gao Bo , Xu Chunzhao.Promotion Incentives,Land Finance and Economic Development’ Regional Differences——An Estimation Based on the Panel Data Simultaneous Equations Model[J].Industrial Economics Research,2013(1):100-110.
Authors:Li Yonggang  Gao Bo  Xu Chunzhao
Institution:(School of Economics,Nanjing University,Nanjing 210093,China)
Abstract:In the process of Chinese reform and development,the promotion incentives and land finance played a crucial role.And they made an important contribution for social and economic development.On the basis of the existing literature,we use the panel data of Chinese 31 provinces from 1999 to 2010,and construct the panel simultaneous equations model to empirical test the Effect of promotion incentives and land finance on the economic development.The results show:(1) There is a significantly and positive correlation between promotion incentives and land finance.Promotion incentives give rise to land finance' increasing.And the role of promotion incentives to the land finance is greater than the land finance to the promotion incentives.(2) The promotion incentives and land finance have a significant and positive influence on the economic growth.The local government's promotion incentives and land finance are important reasons that China's economy has been fast growth for a long time.(3) The promotion incentives and the land finance have a significantly influence on the economic growth differs from region.And to influence on the east regional economic growth less than the Midwest.
Keywords:promotion incentives  land finance  economic development  panel simultaneous equations  fiscal decentralization
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