外部冲击影响下的农户家庭决策与制度调整

农户家庭是现在及未来很长时段我国农业经营的主要组织形式。以家庭为单位作业，易受自然资源、技术条件、劳动供给、政治形势、社会经济秩序乃至地理天气等外部条件影响，会面临各种不确定性。近期外部要素变化对农业经济冲击可谓喜忧参半。贴合经济生活原型，纳入风险要素并构建农户家庭决策模型，可为政府反馈农户经营信息、评估家庭微观经济行为和构建有效制度提供实证依据。目前，农户家庭经营主要面临系列制度障碍，因而应加快推进涉农制度建设，完善制度体系，强化制度激励和保障功能，以降低农户风险和成本，提高农业经营业绩。

The external impact of household decision-making and adjustment of the system

the family is now and in the future for a long period of time our country agriculture main organization form. The family as a unit, easily affected by the external conditions such as natural resources, technical conditions, labor supply, political situation, social and economic order and even geographical weather, will face various uncertainties. The external factors change on the agricultural economic impact is mixed. It can provide empirical evidence for the government to feed back the management information of farmers, evaluate the family microeconomic behavior and build an effective system by incorporating the economic life prototype, incorporating the risk factors and constructing the household decision-making model. The family management of farmers in the near future is mainly faced with a series of institutional obstacles. Therefore, we should accelerate the construction of the agriculture related system, improve the system system, strengthen the system incentive and guarantee functions, so as to reduce the risk and cost of farmers and improve the performance of agricultural management.