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人民币升值对区域碳排放强度的非对称冲击研究——以广西和广东为例
引用本文:丘兆逸.人民币升值对区域碳排放强度的非对称冲击研究——以广西和广东为例[J].湖南商学院学报,2014(2):62-67.
作者姓名:丘兆逸
作者单位:[1]中央财经大学中国改革和发展研究院,北京100088; [2]广西师范学院经济管理学院,广西南宁530001
基金项目:教育部人文社会科学研究西部和边疆地区项目“碳排放规制对我国产品内贸易的影响及其应对研究”(项目编号:11XJC790008);北部湾环境演变与资源利用教育部重点实验室课题“基于资源环境约束的西江流域新型产业体系研究”(项目编号:13-A-03-02);广西自然科学基金项目“低碳经济情景下的土地利用优化调控研究—以广西北部湾经济区为例”(项目编号:2011GXNSFA018014)的阶段性研究成果.
摘    要:理论上,人民币升值在空间和时间两个维度对高碳和低碳产业的影响不同,导致区域碳排放强度差异先收敛后扩散。然后以广西、广东为例,分别以人民币的名义和实际有效汇率,采用VAR模型的脉冲响应分析进行检验,证实了前述理论分析。最后建议,一是在分解区域碳排放指标时应考虑人民币升值对区域碳排放强度的非对称冲击;二是积极探索在人民币升值背景下低碳劳动密集型产业发展的新机制;三是在广西试点建立跨省区的低碳合作区。

关 键 词:人民币升值  非对称冲击  碳排放强度  VAR模型

On the Imbalanced Impact of RMB Appreciation on Carbon Intensity——A Case Study of Guangxi and Guangdong
QIU Zhao-yi.On the Imbalanced Impact of RMB Appreciation on Carbon Intensity——A Case Study of Guangxi and Guangdong[J].Journal of Hunan Business College,2014(2):62-67.
Authors:QIU Zhao-yi
Institution:QIU Zhao-yi (1. Chinese Reform and Development Research Institute, Central University of Finance and Economics, Beijing 100088; 2. School of Economics and Management,Guangxi Teachers Education University,Nanning, Guangxi 530001 )
Abstract:There are different impacts that RMB appreciation dose have on carbon industrial structure both spatially and temporally. Thus the differences of carbon intensity due to regions will astringe at first and then diffuse. This paper uses VAR model to do some examination based on a case study of Guangxi and Guangdong. It is suggested that the imbalanced Impact of RMB appreciation on carbon intensity should be taken into account when the quotas of reduction emission are divided among regions;The mechanism of developing low-carbon and labor-intensive industries should be probed into; Low-carbon cooperated zone should be constructed in Guangxi.
Keywords:RMB appreciation  imbalanced impact  carbon intensity  VAR model
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