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政府规模对经济增长的非线性影响——基于中国省级面板数据的平滑转移检验
引用本文:李建强,张淑翠.政府规模对经济增长的非线性影响——基于中国省级面板数据的平滑转移检验[J].南京经济学院学报,2011(5):1-7,29.
作者姓名:李建强  张淑翠
作者单位:[1]苏州大学东吴商学院,江苏苏州215104 [2]上海财经大学公共经济与管理学院,上海200043
基金项目:江苏省普通高校研究生科研创新计划项目“财政支出对居民消费影响的实证研究”(项目编号:CXIOB-031R)的阶段性成果.
摘    要:基于1998-2009年的中国省级面板数据,采用面板平滑转换模型来检验政府规模与经济增长之间存在Amery曲线效应。研究发现,我国政府规模与经济增长之间确实存在Armey曲线所描绘的非线性效应,平均最优政府规模为10.04%左右,且在大多数年份内中国政府规模存在扩张无效率的嫌疑。

关 键 词:政府规模  Armey曲线  非线性

Nonlinear Relationship between Government Size and Economic Growth: A Panel Smooth Transition Regression Approach on the Provincial Panel Data in China
Li JianQiang,Zhang ShuCui.Nonlinear Relationship between Government Size and Economic Growth: A Panel Smooth Transition Regression Approach on the Provincial Panel Data in China[J].Journal of Nanjing University of Economics,2011(5):1-7,29.
Authors:Li JianQiang  Zhang ShuCui
Institution:1. School of Business, Soochow University, Suzhou 215104, China; 2. School of Public Economics and Administration, Shanghai University of Finance and Economics, Shanghai 200043, China)
Abstract:Based on the provincial panel data in China during 1998 -2009, this paper tests the nonlinear effect of government size on economic growth with panel smooth transition regression approach. The results show that there is a nonlinear effect such as An~y Curve between the government size and economic growth in China. The average optimal size of the government spending is a- round 10. 04%, and there is some doubt whether the government size in China is enlarge and no effect in most years in sample.
Keywords:government size  Armey curve  nonlinear
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