| 基于租赁价格的房地产价格泡沫测度研究--以广州市房地产价格数据为例 |
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| 引用本文： | 陈美华.基于租赁价格的房地产价格泡沫测度研究--以广州市房地产价格数据为例[J].中国房地产,2014(9):21-27. |
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| 作者姓名： | 陈美华 |
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| 作者单位： | 广东财经大学,广东广州510320 |
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| 基金项目： | 本文为广东省哲学社会科学基金项目“资产价格泡沫与公允价值计量执行机制研究”（批准号：GD10CGL12）阶段性成果. |
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| 摘 要： | 在对房地产基础价值进行界定的基础上，提出了基于房地产租赁价格并考虑通胀因素的房地产价格泡沫测度方法。利用广州市2001-2013年的相关数据，对房地产价格泡沫程度进行了分析，并提出了相应的警戒标准，进而得出结论：以广州市为代表的一线城市的房地产价格尚未达到30%的泡沫警戒线，房价涨跌幅度仍属市场机制调节的正常范围，因而没有必要采取非市场调节手段干预房价的正常波动。
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| 关 键 词： | 房地产 基础价值 资产价格泡沫 房屋租赁价格 |
Research on the Measure Method of Real Estate Price Bubbles--based on the house leasing price data from Guangzhou |
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| Chen Meihua.Research on the Measure Method of Real Estate Price Bubbles--based on the house leasing price data from Guangzhou[J].China Real Estate,2014(9):21-27. |
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| Authors: | Chen Meihua |
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| Institution: | Chen Meihua |
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| Abstract: | Based on the redefinition of the basic value,this paper put forwart the measure method of real estate price bubble according to the house leasing price and taking the inflation factor into account.Then,using the related data from Guangzhou city,the article analyses the degree of real estate price bubble and offers relevant warning mark.It comes to the conclusion that the degree of real estate price bubble has not reached the level of 30% being taken as bubble warning mark in the first-tier city like Guangzhou.The real estate price volatility is still within the normal range of market adjustment.Therefore,Therefore,it is not necessary for the govement to use non-market policy to intervene the normal fluctuations of real estate price. |
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| Keywords: | Real estate Basic value Asset price bubble House leasing price |
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