中国与其他金砖国家贸易隐含碳研究

本文采用WIOD提供的金砖国家投入产出和直接碳排放数据,通过建立MRIO模型计算1995~2011年中国与其他金砖国家贸易隐含碳排放量,并进一步考察了中国在不同双边贸易中所处地位特征和是否存在碳减排的国际贸易途径。结果表明,中国与不同金砖国家贸易所处地位存在异质性特征,主要表现为中国在中俄贸易中以贸易逆差换取碳减排、中印贸易中以碳排放换取贸易顺差、中巴贸易中隐含碳净出口和贸易逆差共存。中国可通过鼓励相对低碳行业出口,并同时鼓励相对高碳行业进口和金砖国家内部互补性贸易的国际贸易途径促进实现中国碳减排目标。中国应该充分发挥金砖国家合作机制,实现中国与其他金砖国家的"共享式"碳减排。

Embodied Carbon in Foreign Trade between China and Other BRICS Countries

This paper estimates embodied carbon emissions in foreign trade between China and other BRICS countries in 1995~2011,and then analyzes the China's trade status between BRICS countries and whether it has the route to carbon emission reduction through international trade. The results show that China mainly exchanges trade deficit for emission reduction in China-Russia trade,exchanges carbon emission for trade surplus in China-India trade and has both the net embodied carbon and trade deficit in China-Brazil trade. That means China has heterogeneity in trade status between BRICS countries. Furthermore,China could achieve the targets of carbon reduction by encouraging the export of comparative low carbon industries and import of comparative high carbon industries and the complementary trade among BRICS countries.