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非有效市场股权风险溢价的确定——基于投入产出分析
引用本文:徐爱农.非有效市场股权风险溢价的确定——基于投入产出分析[J].上海立信会计学院学报,2009,23(5):57-63.
作者姓名:徐爱农
作者单位:上海立信会计学院会计与财务学院,上海,201620
基金项目:上海市教育委员会科研创新项目,上海市教育委员会重点学科建设项目 
摘    要:从实体经济领域着手,运用投入产出分析构建了非有效市场股权风险溢价计算模型,并运用所构建模型计算了我国整体经济、主要行业以及目标企业的股权风险溢价,进而确定了目标企业股权价值评估时应采用的折现率。

关 键 词:股权风险溢价  投入产出分析  综合杠杆

Determination of Equity Risk Premium in An Inefficient Market:Based on Input-output Analysis
XU Ai-nong.Determination of Equity Risk Premium in An Inefficient Market:Based on Input-output Analysis[J].Journal of Shanghai Lixin University of Commerce,2009,23(5):57-63.
Authors:XU Ai-nong
Abstract:Financial decision making is based on valuation.Discounted cash flow is one of the basic methods to value a business.In western mature markets,the discount rate is calculated by CAPM.However, it is difficult to meet the prerequisite of CAPM in China because of the inefficient market.How to determine equity risk premium and discount rate is an urgent problem.From the view of substantial economy, this paper mainly uses input-output analysis to establish the model of determining equity risk premium.Applying the model,it gets the equity risk premium of the whole economy,of the main industries and of the company concerned.At last,it gets the discount rate of the company concerned.
Keywords:equity risk premium  input-output analysis  total leverage
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