构建旅游景气指数体系及预警机制的探讨--以杭州市为例

伴随着国民经济的发展,我国国内旅游发展迅速,被称为“国民经济提升的催化剂”。然而受到旅游业市场规模、国内外政治经济环境、生态环境以及一些不可抗力(如新冠疫情)等多方面影响,旅游行业很有必要建立一套景气指标体系,从而预测旅游业的经济走向,提供预警功能,以保证旅游业平稳有序发展。

Discussion on the Construction of Tourism Prosperity Index System and Early Warning Mechanism--Taking Hangzhou as an Example

With the development of national economy,China's domestic tourism has developed rapidly,which is known as"the catalyst of national economy promotion".However,affected by the scale of tourism market,domestic and international political and economic environment,ecological environment and some force majeure(such as the COVID-19),it is necessary for tourism industry to establish a set of prosperity index system,so as to predict the economic trend of tourism industry and provide early warning function,ensure the stable and orderly development of tourism industry.