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Distribution of residual autocorrelations for multiplicative seasonal ARMA models with uncorrelated but nonindependent error terms
Authors:Yacouba Boubacar Maïnassara  Abdoulkarim Ilmi Amir
Abstract:In this paper, we consider portmanteau tests for testing the adequacy of multiplicative seasonal autoregressive moving‐average models under the assumption that the errors are uncorrelated but not necessarily independent. We relax the standard independence assumption on the error terms in order to extend the range of applications of the seasonal autoregressive moving‐average models. We study the asymptotic distributions of residual and normalized residual empirical autocovariances and autocorrelations under weak assumptions on noise. We establish the asymptotic behavior of the proposed statistics. A set of Monte Carlo experiments and an application to monthly mean total sunspot number are presented.
Keywords:Box–  Pierce and Ljung–  Box portmanteau tests  goodness‐of‐fit test  quasi‐maximum likelihood estimation  residual autocorrelation  self‐normalization  weak SARMA models
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