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COVID-19 and asymmetric volatility spillovers across global stock markets
Institution:1. School of Business Administration, South China University of Technology, Guangzhou 510641, China;2. International School of Business and Finance, Sun Yat-sen University, Zhuhai, 519082, China;1. Department of Economics, Cà Foscari University of Venice, 873 Cannaregio, Fondamenta San Giobbe, 30121 Venezia, Italy;2. Department of Economics, Accounting and Statistics, University of Palermo, V.le delle Scienze, 90128 Palermo, Italy;3. CEFIN, Modena, Italy;4. RECent, Modena, Italy;5. Department of Economics, University of Modena and Reggio Emilia, Viale J. Berengario, 51, 41121 Modena, Italy;1. CAEN Graduate School of Economics, Brazil;2. UERN – University of State of Rio Grande do Norte Brazil
Abstract:In this study, I improve the assessment of asymmetry in volatility spillovers, and define six asymmetric spillover indexes. Employing Diebold-Yilmaz spillover index, network analysis, and my developed asymmetric spillover index, this study investigates the time-varying volatility spillovers and asymmetry in spillovers across stock markets of the U.S., Japan, Germany, the U.K., France, Italy, Canada, China, India, and Brazil based on high-frequency data from June 1, 2009, to August 28, 2020. I find that the global markets are well connected, and volatility spillovers across global stock markets are time-varying, crisis-sensitive, and asymmetric. Developed markets are the main risk transmitters, and emerging markets are the main risk receivers. Downside risk dominates financial contagion effects, and a great deal of downside risk spilled over from stock markets of risk transmitters into the global markets. Moreover, during the coronavirus recession, the total degree of volatility spillover is staying at an extremely high level, and emerging markets are the main risk receivers in the 2020 stock markets crash.
Keywords:COVID-19  2020 stock market crash  Asymmetric spillovers  Developed markets  Emerging markets  C32  D82  G12
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