我国研发强度增长态势预测分析

一些发达国家的发展经验表明,一国研发强度超过2%之后将保持低速增长。我国若重蹈别国的覆辙,将难以实现到2020年研发强度达2.5%的目标。从2006年至今的发展情况来看,我国的研发强度在突破2%之后或仍将保持较快增长,有望提前实现2.5%的目标。

Previous Analysis on the Trend of R＆D Intense Growth in China

It was shown from some developed countries that once a country＇s RD intensity reached 2%, its growing speed would slow down as followed. If China went after these countries, it would be difficult for its RD intensity to reach 2.5% by 2020. Based on the situations from 2006 till now, Chinese RD intensity was expected to keep a fast-growing speed after breaking through 2%, and finally the goal of 2.5% would be probably achieved in advance.