| 基于HRA的煤矿事故人误辨识结构模型的研究 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 崔宁,等.基于HRA的煤矿事故人误辨识结构模型的研究[J].价值工程,2014(23):49-50. |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 崔宁 |
| |
| 作者单位： | 辽宁工程技术大学机械工程学院,阜新123000 |
| |
| 摘 要： | 借用人因事故树对煤矿人因事故的致因进行分析,辨识出几种重要的人误影响因素,进行汇总。再结合HRA思想和贝叶斯网络进行模型构建,确定各个因素的条件概率,从HRA数据库中提取所需的概率值填充,得到先验分布和后验分布,从而对结构模型有了良好的定性和定量分析,当有新节点加入时也可依据公式进行补充,具有良好的拓展性。
|
| 关 键 词： | 事故树 人误辨识 HRA 贝叶斯网络 |
Research on Human Error Identification Structural Model Based on HRA Mine Accident |
| |
| CUI Ning,CHEN Zhi-yang,ZHANG Bing-xun.Research on Human Error Identification Structural Model Based on HRA Mine Accident[J].Value Engineering,2014(23):49-50. |
| |
| Authors: | CUI Ning CHEN Zhi-yang ZHANG Bing-xun |
| |
| Institution: | ( School of Mechanical Engineering , Liaoning Technical University, Fuxin 123000 ,China ) |
| |
| Abstract: | This paper borrowed FAT model to analyze the reasons of the coal mine accident, recognized several important factors and aggregated them, then combining HRA ideas and a bayesian network for model building,determining the conditional probability of the various factors, extracting the desired probability from the HRA database, getting the prior distribution and the posterior distribution, in order to have a good qualitative and quantitative analysis of the structural model. When a new node is added that may be supplemented in accordance with the formula,which has good expansibility. |
| |
| Keywords: | FAT human error identification HRA Bayesian network |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 等数据库收录！ |
|
