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基于ARIMA模型的我国电力生产预测研究
引用本文:姜庆华,赵丽萍.基于ARIMA模型的我国电力生产预测研究[J].价值工程,2006,25(9):113-116.
作者姓名:姜庆华  赵丽萍
作者单位:1. 山东经济学院统计与数学学院,济南,250014
2. 威海市国有资产经营有限公司,威海,264200
摘    要:考虑到电力对国家社会经济发展的重要性,本文研究了我国电力生产的预测模型。鉴于我国电力生产时间序列数据的完备性,在对该时间序列进行平稳性检验的基础上,比较分析建立了我国电力生产量的ARIMA模型,并运用所建立模型进行了预测。

关 键 词:发电量  ARIMA模型  预测
文章编号:1006-4311(2006)09-0113-04

Forecast Research of China's Electric Power Production Based on ARIMA Models
Jiang Qinghua,Zhao Liping.Forecast Research of China''''s Electric Power Production Based on ARIMA Models[J].Value Engineering,2006,25(9):113-116.
Authors:Jiang Qinghua  Zhao Liping
Institution:School of Statistics and Mathematics, Shandong Institute of Economics, Jinan 250014, China; State-own Assets Limited Company of Weihai, Weihai 264200, China
Abstract:This paper studies China's electric power production forecast models.In view of the fact that the electric power productive data is completeness,the paper examines the stability of the data and compares some ARIMA models about China's electric power production,then conducts the forecast research using the better model.
Keywords:electric power production  ARIMA model  forecast
本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录!
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