产品内贸易对我国产业结构升级的实证分析

随着国际分工由产业内分工向产品内分工深化拓展,产品内贸易也逐渐取代产业内贸易,成为国际贸易的主流模式,中国也不例外。那么产品内贸易对中国产业结构升级是否产生影响?本文尝试进行实证分析。分析表明:近年来,我国产品内贸易表现出规模不断扩大和出口结构逐渐优化的特征,而且产品内贸易的发展是我国产业结构升级的Granger原因,即产品内贸易和产业结构升级之间存在长期的协整关系。因此,积极参与产品内国际分工,有利于扩大并优化产品内贸易的规模和结构,进而促进我国产业结构的升级。

Empirical Analysis of Intra-product Trade on China Industrial Upgrading

As the international division of labor expanding deeply from intra-industry to intra-product,intra-industry trade is gradually substituted by intra-product trade,becoming the mainstream model of international trade including China.Therefore this paper attempts to conduct empirical analysis to test whether intra-product trade is going to impact China industrial upgrading.Recently,it is shown that intra-product trade has been expanding and export structure has been optimizing gradually in China.Moreover,the development of intra-product trade promotes the optimization of export structure directly,which is also to say there exist cointegration relations between intra-product trade and industrial upgrading.Hence,taking participation in the intra-product international specialization actively plays a positive role in optimizing the scale and structure of intra-product trade,as well as promoting China industrial upgrading.